ElectionTracker
As of: Jun 22, 2026·40 polls in trend

Reform UK leading at 29.1% in the UK polling trend.

ElectionTracker aggregates Westminster voting-intention polls from 10 UK institutes, weights them by recency and methodological reliability, and projects what the House of Commons would look like if a general election happened today.

Current voting intention
Weighted average of polls fielded in the last ~90 days. Bars show ±MoE.
Δ shown vs. Jul 4, 2024 General Election.
Governing parties
18.6%
of seats on current trend — 121 of 650
Majority threshold is 326 seats. On these numbers the government would lose its majority.
Gaining momentum · 90d
+2.0
points vs. 60–120 days ago
Largest weighted gain across the eight topline parties.
Losing ground · 30d
-1.3
points vs. 30–60 days ago
Steepest short-term decline among the topline parties.
Election outlook

Next General Election: 2029.

Scheduled by the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act for May 3, 2029 in 2.9 years. The Prime Minister retains the prerogative to call an earlier poll.

Head of State
King Charles III
Prime Minister
Sir Keir Starmer (resigned) (LAB)
Government type
Parliamentary constitutional monarchy
Memberships
NATO · G7 · G20 · OECD · Council of Europe · Commonwealth
Projected House of Commons
On the current trend, allocated by the FPTP proxy.
majority · 326
REF
LAB
CON
LD
GRN
REF244LAB121CON108LD77GRN47OTH37SNP13PC3
Electoral system

First-past-the-post.

The UK uses First-Past-The-Post: 650 constituencies each elect one MP, and whichever candidate gets the most votes wins — no majority required. Parties rarely need to share power; since 1945, formal coalitions have been the exception, not the rule.

Possible coalitions
Grouped by ideological lean · adjusts with the current poll trend.
← Left-leaning
None viable
Grand coalition
Right-leaning →
Latest polls at a glance

The five most recent fieldwork dates.

More polls →
YouGov
Jun 18, 2026
REF
29.1%
LAB
21.2%
CON
19.2%
LD
13.0%
GRN
7.6%
Sample 1,189 · published Jun 20, 2026
Opinium
Jun 9, 2026
REF
29.5%
LAB
21.9%
CON
18.1%
LD
14.6%
GRN
8.5%
Sample 1,208 · published Jun 11, 2026
Ipsos
Jun 4, 2026
REF
30.8%
LAB
20.4%
CON
19.5%
LD
13.1%
GRN
7.7%
Sample 1,168 · published Jun 6, 2026
More in Common
May 24, 2026
REF
28.6%
LAB
20.9%
CON
18.9%
LD
13.9%
GRN
9.3%
Sample 1,651 · published May 26, 2026
Deltapoll
May 14, 2026
REF
27.5%
LAB
21.3%
CON
18.0%
LD
13.2%
GRN
9.4%
Sample 1,020 · published May 16, 2026
Key

Orientation legend.

Each party is classified on a single primary axis, used to colour bars and seat strips throughout the site. Full positioning lives on each party page.

Far-Left
Hard left economic & social policy
Left
Left-wing
Centre-Left
Moderate left
Centre
Centrist
Liberal
Liberal / big-tent
Centre-Right
Moderate right
Right
Right-wing
Far-Right
Hard right
← LeftRight →
GreenGreen / ecologist
RegionalRegional / nationalist
Additional category tags used: Liberal · Green · Regional · Animal Welfare · Satire.